How many care home beds are near Carnforth?

Within 5 miles of Carnforth there are 142 registered care home beds across 5 CQC-registered homes, of which 89 are in homes registered for nursing care and 108 for dementia care.

How will care demand near Carnforth change by 2043?

The population aged 85+ in the Carnforth catchment is projected to change by +58.0% by 2043 (ONS 2022-based projections). Held at today's beds, that would be 9.8 beds per 100 aged 85+, a shortfall of 328 beds at the national rate.

Care home demand near Carnforth

5-mile catchment · 5 homes · 142 beds · CQC + ONS

The area within 5 miles of Carnforth carries 15.5 care beds per 100 residents aged 85+, against a national average of 32.5 - undersupplied

15.5

beds per 100 aged 85+ (national 32.5)

142

registered beds · 5 homes

915

residents aged 85+ in catchment

+58.0%

projected 85+ change to 2043

The population aged 85+ near Carnforth is projected to change +58.0% by 2043. At the national rate that demands 470 beds against today's 142, a shortfall of 328.

915

85+ today

1,446

85+ in 2043

Demand & supply in the Carnforth catchment

Residents aged 75+ (within 5 miles)	3,310
Residents aged 85+	915
Registered care beds	142
Beds per 100 aged 85+	15.5
Beds at the national rate (32.5/100)	297
Shortfall vs national rate	155 beds
Beds in homes registered for nursing	89
Beds in homes registered for dementia	108

Quality of the nearby stock

Outstanding · 10Good · 113Requires improvement · 0Inadequate · 0Not rated · 19

0 beds sit in homes rated Requires improvement or Inadequate, supply that may not endure and therefore latent demand a new scheme can plan around.

Care homes nearest Carnforth

Home	Provider	Beds	Type	CQC	Miles
Hillcroft Nursing Home Carnforth LA5 9LX	Hillcroft Nursing Homes Limited	64	Nursing	Good	2.33
Keer Sands Residential Home LA5 9JA	Mr & Mrs S Plevey	10	Residential	Outstanding	3.01
Lunesdale House LA7 7BN	Mr Mohamed Serroukh	19	Residential	Not rated	3.12
Elmsfield House Limited LA6 1RJ	Elmsfield House Limited	25	Nursing + residential	Good	4.14
Abbeyfield Silverdale & District Society Limited LA5 0SG	Abbeyfield Silverdale Society	24	Residential	Good	4.51

Appraising a care site near Carnforth?

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Care near Carnforth - questions

How many care home beds are near Carnforth?: Within 5 miles of Carnforth there are 142 registered care home beds across 5 CQC-registered homes, of which 89 are in homes registered for nursing care and 108 for dementia care.
Is Carnforth short of care home beds?: The 5-mile catchment around Carnforth has 15.5 beds per 100 residents aged 85+, against a national average of 32.5 - undersupplied. At the national rate it would hold 297 beds, a shortfall of 155.
How will care demand near Carnforth change by 2043?: The population aged 85+ in the Carnforth catchment is projected to change by +58.0% by 2043 (ONS 2022-based projections). Held at today's beds, that would be 9.8 beds per 100 aged 85+, a shortfall of 328 beds at the national rate.

This catchment sits mainly in Lancashire, where you can see the full local-authority picture.
Nearby towns: Lancaster · Grange-Over-Sands · Morecambe · Kendal · Ulverston · Dalton-in-Furness · Barrow-in-Furness · Thornton-Cleveleys
All towns · By local authority

Method: a 5-mile catchment around Carnforth. Supply is every CQC-registered care home in reach (beds, nursing and dementia scope, latest rating) from the CQC HSCA Active Locations register; demand is ONS small-area population aged 75+/85+; growth is ONS 2022-based subnational projections for the 85+ band. The national benchmark of 32.5 beds per 100 aged 85+ is computed from the data, not assumed. Estimates for research and site screening, not a commissioned feasibility study. Updated July 2026.