How many care home beds are there in Arun?

There are 2,895 registered care home beds across 99 CQC-registered homes in Arun, of which 1,308 are in homes registered for nursing care and 2,063 in homes registered for dementia care (2026-07-10).

Is Arun undersupplied or oversupplied with care beds?

Arun has 41.6 beds per 100 residents aged 85+, against a national average of 32.5 — oversupplied. That is 633 beds above what the national rate implies.

How will demand for care beds in Arun change by 2043?

The population aged 85+ in Arun is projected to change by +64.1% between 2025 and 2043 (ONS 2022-based projections). Held at today's 2,895 beds, that would be 25.3 beds per 100 aged 85+ — undersupplied, a shortfall of 818 beds at the national rate.

How many care beds does Arun need?

At the national rate of 32.5 beds per 100 aged 85+, Arun would hold about 2,262 beds today against its actual 2,895, rising to roughly 3,713 beds by 2043 as the 85+ population grows.

Care in Arun

99 homes · 2,895 beds · CQC + ONS · 2026-07-10

Arun carries 41.6 beds per 100 residents aged 85+, against a national average of 32.5 — oversupplied

41.6

beds per 100 aged 85+ (national 32.5)

2,895

registered beds · 99 homes

6,961

residents aged 85+ (2020)

+64.1%

projected 85+ change to 2043

Arun looks oversupplied today — but its population aged 85+ is projected to change +64.1% by 2043. Hold today's 2,895 beds and the same stock falls to 25.3 per 100, a shortfall of 818 beds. Today's balance is tomorrow's shortage.

6,961

85+ today

11,426

85+ in 2043

Demand & supply today

Residents aged 75+	23,299
Residents aged 85+	6,961
Registered care beds	2,895
Beds per 100 aged 85+	41.6
Beds at the national rate (32.5/100)	2,262
Surplus vs national rate	633 beds
Beds in homes registered for nursing	1,308
Beds in homes registered for dementia	2,063

Quality of the existing stock

70% of beds sit in homes rated Good or Outstanding by the CQC. 556 beds sit in homes rated Requires improvement or Inadequate — supply that may not endure, and therefore latent demand a new scheme can plan around.

Outstanding · 45Good · 1,974Requires improvement · 556Inadequate · 0Not rated · 320

Largest providers in Arun

Provider	Homes	Beds
Shaw Healthcare Limited	3	180
Care UK Community Partnerships Ltd	2	126
Care UK Care Services Limited	2	126
Homebeech Limited	2	108
Ashton Care (Bognor Regis) Limited	3	88
Country Court Care Homes 2 Limited	1	80
Barchester Healthcare Homes Limited	1	79
Hallmark Care Homes (Angmering Grange) Limited	1	74

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Care in Arun — questions

How many care home beds are there in Arun?: There are 2,895 registered care home beds across 99 CQC-registered homes in Arun, of which 1,308 are in homes registered for nursing care and 2,063 in homes registered for dementia care (2026-07-10).
Is Arun undersupplied or oversupplied with care beds?: Arun has 41.6 beds per 100 residents aged 85+, against a national average of 32.5 — oversupplied. That is 633 beds above what the national rate implies.
How will demand for care beds in Arun change by 2043?: The population aged 85+ in Arun is projected to change by +64.1% between 2025 and 2043 (ONS 2022-based projections). Held at today's 2,895 beds, that would be 25.3 beds per 100 aged 85+ — undersupplied, a shortfall of 818 beds at the national rate.
How many care beds does Arun need?: At the national rate of 32.5 beds per 100 aged 85+, Arun would hold about 2,262 beds today against its actual 2,895, rising to roughly 3,713 beds by 2043 as the 85+ population grows.

Nearby authorities in South East: Buckinghamshire · New Forest · Horsham · Milton Keynes · Isle of Wight · Lewes · Portsmouth · Chichester · Wealden · Test Valley
All of South East · All areas

Method: CQC HSCA Active Locations give every registered care home, its beds, registration scope (nursing / dementia) and latest rating; each home is assigned to a local authority by its nearest ONS population-weighted centroid. Demand is ONS small-area population aged 75+/85+ (2020); growth is ONS 2022-based subnational projections for the 85+ band (2025–2043). The national benchmark of 32.5 beds per 100 aged 85+ is computed from the same data, not assumed. Figures are estimates for research and site screening, not a substitute for a commissioned feasibility study. Updated July 2026.