Care in Swale

44 homes · 1,019 beds · CQC + ONS · 2026-07-10

Swale carries 31.2 beds per 100 residents aged 85+, against a national average of 32.5in line with national

31.2
beds per 100 aged 85+ (national 32.5)
1,019
registered beds · 44 homes
3,267
residents aged 85+ (2020)
+64.0%
projected 85+ change to 2043
Swale looks in line with national today — but its population aged 85+ is projected to change +64.0% by 2043. Hold today's 1,019 beds and the same stock falls to 19 per 100, a shortfall of 723 beds. Today's balance is tomorrow's shortage.
3,267
85+ today
5,359
85+ in 2043

Demand & supply today

Residents aged 75+12,913
Residents aged 85+3,267
Registered care beds1,019
Beds per 100 aged 85+31.2
Beds at the national rate (32.5/100)1,062
Shortfall vs national rate43 beds
Beds in homes registered for nursing309
Beds in homes registered for dementia744

Quality of the existing stock

77% of beds sit in homes rated Good or Outstanding by the CQC. 182 beds sit in homes rated Requires improvement or Inadequate — supply that may not endure, and therefore latent demand a new scheme can plan around.

Outstanding · 28Good · 753Requires improvement · 123Inadequate · 59Not rated · 56

Largest providers in Swale

ProviderHomesBeds
Nellsar Limited2135
Anchor Hanover Group166
Barchester Healthcare Homes Limited164
Eleanor Nursing and Social Care Limited159
Barton Court Care Home Limited157
Avery Homes (Nelson) Limited155
Cooksditch House Care Ltd155
Mrs B F Wake150

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Care in Swale — questions

How many care home beds are there in Swale?
There are 1,019 registered care home beds across 44 CQC-registered homes in Swale, of which 309 are in homes registered for nursing care and 744 in homes registered for dementia care (2026-07-10).
Is Swale undersupplied or oversupplied with care beds?
Swale has 31.2 beds per 100 residents aged 85+, against a national average of 32.5 — in line with national. At the national rate it would hold 1,062 beds, a shortfall of 43.
How will demand for care beds in Swale change by 2043?
The population aged 85+ in Swale is projected to change by +64.0% between 2025 and 2043 (ONS 2022-based projections). Held at today's 1,019 beds, that would be 19 beds per 100 aged 85+ — undersupplied, a shortfall of 723 beds at the national rate.
How many care beds does Swale need?
At the national rate of 32.5 beds per 100 aged 85+, Swale would hold about 1,062 beds today against its actual 1,019, rising to roughly 1,742 beds by 2043 as the 85+ population grows.

Nearby authorities in South East: Buckinghamshire · New Forest · Horsham · Milton Keynes · Isle of Wight · Lewes · Portsmouth · Chichester · Wealden · Test Valley
All of South East · All areas

Method: CQC HSCA Active Locations give every registered care home, its beds, registration scope (nursing / dementia) and latest rating; each home is assigned to a local authority by its nearest ONS population-weighted centroid. Demand is ONS small-area population aged 75+/85+ (2020); growth is ONS 2022-based subnational projections for the 85+ band (2025–2043). The national benchmark of 32.5 beds per 100 aged 85+ is computed from the same data, not assumed. Figures are estimates for research and site screening, not a substitute for a commissioned feasibility study. Updated July 2026.