Care home demand near Orpington

5-mile catchment · 62 homes · 2,765 beds · CQC + ONS

The area within 5 miles of Orpington carries 25.9 care beds per 100 residents aged 85+, against a national average of 32.5 - undersupplied

25.9
beds per 100 aged 85+ (national 32.5)
2,765
registered beds · 62 homes
10,660
residents aged 85+ in catchment
+44.1%
projected 85+ change to 2043
The population aged 85+ near Orpington is projected to change +44.1% by 2043. At the national rate that demands 4,994 beds against today's 2,765, a shortfall of 2,229.
10,660
85+ today
15,366
85+ in 2043

Demand & supply in the Orpington catchment

Residents aged 75+ (within 5 miles)33,654
Residents aged 85+10,660
Registered care beds2,765
Beds per 100 aged 85+25.9
Beds at the national rate (32.5/100)3,465
Shortfall vs national rate700 beds
Beds in homes registered for nursing1,784
Beds in homes registered for dementia2,368

Quality of the nearby stock

Outstanding · 105Good · 2,051Requires improvement · 82Inadequate · 0Not rated · 502

82 beds sit in homes rated Requires improvement or Inadequate, supply that may not endure and therefore latent demand a new scheme can plan around.

Care homes nearest Orpington

HomeProviderBedsTypeCQCMiles
Cabrini House 1 (Diagrama Healthcare)
BR6 9LB
Diagrama Healthcare Services Limited8ResidentialGood0.87
Cabrini House 3 (Diagrama Healthcare)
BR6 9LB
Diagrama Healthcare Services Limited8ResidentialGood0.87
Cabrini House 2 (Diagrama Healthcare)
BR6 9LB
Diagrama Healthcare Services Limited7ResidentialGood0.87
Stoneyway 1
BR5 4EN
Colin Limited3ResidentialNot rated1.35
Stoneyway 2
BR5 4EN
Colin Limited4ResidentialNot rated1.35
Foxbridge House
BR6 7FB
Care UK Care Services Limited84NursingNot rated2.02
Foxbridge House
BR6 7FB
Care UK Community Partnerships Ltd84NursingGood2.02
Pemberley Manor Care and Nursing Home
BR5 3AD
Country Court Care Homes 6 Limited75NursingGood2.2
Ashglade
BR2 8AL
Chislehurst Care Limited12ResidentialGood2.34
Antokol
BR7 6PE
Polish Citizens Committee Housing Association Limited36Nursing + residentialGood2.41
KYN Bickley
BR1 2AZ
KYN Bickley Ltd90NursingGood2.48
Elmwood
BR1 2EN
Mission Care Management70NursingGood2.51
Homefield
BR1 2EF
Mission Care Management42NursingRequires improvement2.57
Queen Elizabeth House
BR1 2EE
Greensleeves Homes Trust28ResidentialRequires improvement2.57
Prince George Duke of Kent Court
BR7 6PA
The Royal Masonic Benevolent Institution Care Company74NursingGood2.57

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Care near Orpington - questions

How many care home beds are near Orpington?
Within 5 miles of Orpington there are 2,765 registered care home beds across 62 CQC-registered homes, of which 1,784 are in homes registered for nursing care and 2,368 for dementia care.
Is Orpington short of care home beds?
The 5-mile catchment around Orpington has 25.9 beds per 100 residents aged 85+, against a national average of 32.5 - undersupplied. At the national rate it would hold 3,465 beds, a shortfall of 700.
How will care demand near Orpington change by 2043?
The population aged 85+ in the Orpington catchment is projected to change by +44.1% by 2043 (ONS 2022-based projections). Held at today's beds, that would be 18 beds per 100 aged 85+, a shortfall of 2,229 beds at the national rate.

This catchment sits mainly in Bromley, where you can see the full local-authority picture.
Nearby towns: Bromley · Sidcup · Westerham · Erith · Croydon · Purley · Mitcham · Dagenham
All towns · By local authority

Method: a 5-mile catchment around Orpington. Supply is every CQC-registered care home in reach (beds, nursing and dementia scope, latest rating) from the CQC HSCA Active Locations register; demand is ONS small-area population aged 75+/85+; growth is ONS 2022-based subnational projections for the 85+ band. The national benchmark of 32.5 beds per 100 aged 85+ is computed from the data, not assumed. Estimates for research and site screening, not a commissioned feasibility study. Updated July 2026.