Care home demand near Swanley

5-mile catchment · 57 homes · 2,899 beds · CQC + ONS

The area within 5 miles of Swanley carries 29.7 care beds per 100 residents aged 85+, against a national average of 32.5 - in line with national

29.7
beds per 100 aged 85+ (national 32.5)
2,899
registered beds · 57 homes
9,748
residents aged 85+ in catchment
+45.4%
projected 85+ change to 2043
The Swanley catchment looks in line with national today, but its population aged 85+ is projected to change +45.4% by 2043. Hold today's 2,899 beds and the same stock falls to 20.4 per 100, a shortfall of 1,709 beds. Today's balance is tomorrow's shortage.
9,748
85+ today
14,178
85+ in 2043

Demand & supply in the Swanley catchment

Residents aged 75+ (within 5 miles)30,915
Residents aged 85+9,748
Registered care beds2,899
Beds per 100 aged 85+29.7
Beds at the national rate (32.5/100)3,168
Shortfall vs national rate269 beds
Beds in homes registered for nursing1,890
Beds in homes registered for dementia2,432

Quality of the nearby stock

Outstanding · 55Good · 2,015Requires improvement · 365Inadequate · 77Not rated · 387

442 beds sit in homes rated Requires improvement or Inadequate, supply that may not endure and therefore latent demand a new scheme can plan around.

Care homes nearest Swanley

HomeProviderBedsTypeCQCMiles
Birchwood Heights Care Home
BR8 7BT
Oakland Opco B Limited77NursingNot rated0.21
Emerson Grange
BR8 7FP
Hextable Care Limited85NursingGood0.99
Elderwood House
BR8 7SG
Scarborough Hall Limited62ResidentialNot rated1.27
Elderwood House
BR8 7SG
Barchester Healthcare Homes Limited62ResidentialNot rated1.27
Wilmington Manor Care Home
DA2 7BA
Bupa Care Homes (CFChomes) Limited50NursingGood2.29
Stoneyway 1
BR5 4EN
Colin Limited3ResidentialNot rated2.56
Stoneyway 2
BR5 4EN
Colin Limited4ResidentialNot rated2.56
Sonya Lodge Dementia Residential Care Home
DA2 7EG
Nellsar Limited37ResidentialGood2.56
Broad Oak Manor Care Home
DA4 9HF
Bupa Care Homes (CFChomes) Limited42NursingGood2.66
Loring Hall Limited
DA14 5ES
Oakfields Care Limited16ResidentialGood2.69
Pemberley Manor Care and Nursing Home
BR5 3AD
Country Court Care Homes 6 Limited75NursingGood2.84
Baugh House Care Centre
DA14 5ED
GCH (South) Ltd60NursingGood2.86
Eglantine Villa Care Home
DA4 9JL
Bupa Care Homes (CFChomes) Limited49NursingGood3
Shakti Lodge
DA1 3HR
Shakti Lodge26ResidentialRequires improvement3.11
Kentwood House
DA2 7QT
Kentwood House Ltd32NursingRequires improvement3.23

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Care near Swanley - questions

How many care home beds are near Swanley?
Within 5 miles of Swanley there are 2,899 registered care home beds across 57 CQC-registered homes, of which 1,890 are in homes registered for nursing care and 2,432 for dementia care.
Is Swanley short of care home beds?
The 5-mile catchment around Swanley has 29.7 beds per 100 residents aged 85+, against a national average of 32.5 - in line with national. At the national rate it would hold 3,168 beds, a shortfall of 269.
How will care demand near Swanley change by 2043?
The population aged 85+ in the Swanley catchment is projected to change by +45.4% by 2043 (ONS 2022-based projections). Held at today's beds, that would be 20.4 beds per 100 aged 85+, a shortfall of 1,709 beds at the national rate.

This catchment sits mainly in Kent, where you can see the full local-authority picture.
Nearby towns: Dartford · Longfield · Gillingham · Sevenoaks · Gravesend · Snodland · West Malling · Oxted
All towns · By local authority

Method: a 5-mile catchment around Swanley. Supply is every CQC-registered care home in reach (beds, nursing and dementia scope, latest rating) from the CQC HSCA Active Locations register; demand is ONS small-area population aged 75+/85+; growth is ONS 2022-based subnational projections for the 85+ band. The national benchmark of 32.5 beds per 100 aged 85+ is computed from the data, not assumed. Estimates for research and site screening, not a commissioned feasibility study. Updated July 2026.