Care demand across North West
Every local authority in North West, ranked by the care-bed shortfall projected for 2043 at the national rate of 32.5 beds per 100 residents aged 85+. Bed counts are CQC-registered; demand and growth are ONS. Together these authorities are projected to need on the order of 27,210 additional beds by 2043 to hold the national rate.
| Local authority | Beds | Per 100 85+ | Today | 85+ to 2043 | 2043 gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cheshire West and Chester | 3,288 | 34 | in line with national | +74.8% | +2,207 |
| Cheshire East | 4,960 | 41 | oversupplied | +74.1% | +1,891 |
| Wirral | 3,415 | 35.6 | in line with national | +61.0% | +1,600 |
| Stockport | 2,659 | 31.9 | in line with national | +49.3% | +1,389 |
| Trafford | 1,582 | 25.6 | undersupplied | +41.4% | +1,260 |
| Liverpool | 3,411 | 36.7 | in line with national | +52.0% | +1,181 |
| Sefton | 3,529 | 36.3 | in line with national | +48.8% | +1,176 |
| Wigan | 2,437 | 37.8 | oversupplied | +67.1% | +1,065 |
| South Lakeland | 1,129 | 27.1 | undersupplied | +60.4% | +1,046 |
| Bolton | 1,936 | 33.3 | in line with national | +57.0% | +1,033 |
| Carlisle | 872 | 27.7 | in line with national | +72.8% | +894 |
| Wyre | 1,392 | 33.4 | in line with national | +66.8% | +864 |
| Manchester | 2,188 | 34.6 | in line with national | +48.1% | +856 |
| Allerdale | 981 | 30.4 | in line with national | +69.5% | +795 |
| Eden | 248 | 13.1 | undersupplied | +67.2% | +784 |
| Rochdale | 1,624 | 36.4 | in line with national | +63.7% | +748 |
| Lancaster | 1,281 | 32.8 | in line with national | +57.1% | +712 |
| Halton | 747 | 29.9 | in line with national | +78.2% | +700 |
| Tameside | 1,458 | 33.6 | in line with national | +52.3% | +691 |
| St. Helens | 1,432 | 34.4 | in line with national | +48.1% | +570 |
| Bury | 1,574 | 36.1 | in line with national | +51.3% | +568 |
| Oldham | 1,659 | 36.9 | in line with national | +48.8% | +515 |
| West Lancashire | 1,256 | 39.3 | oversupplied | +68.9% | +500 |
| Knowsley | 1,153 | 34.3 | in line with national | +49.2% | +476 |
| Warrington | 2,055 | 44 | oversupplied | +66.1% | +469 |
| South Ribble | 1,092 | 37.5 | oversupplied | +63.5% | +455 |
| Ribble Valley | 717 | 36.2 | in line with national | +80.9% | +448 |
| Salford | 1,592 | 35 | in line with national | +37.1% | +437 |
| Pendle | 729 | 34.6 | in line with national | +65.4% | +403 |
| Copeland | 494 | 27.3 | undersupplied | +51.9% | +400 |
| Fylde | 1,487 | 46.4 | oversupplied | +77.8% | +366 |
| Chorley | 1,155 | 46.2 | oversupplied | +84.5% | +344 |
| Barrow-in-Furness | 554 | 34.5 | in line with national | +44.8% | +201 |
| Rossendale | 828 | 53.1 | oversupplied | +74.9% | +59 |
| Burnley | 1,082 | 52.9 | oversupplied | +69.7% | +45 |
| Blackburn with Darwen | 1,083 | 47 | oversupplied | +49.1% | +35 |
| Blackpool | 1,666 | 46.2 | oversupplied | +44.4% | +27 |
| Hyndburn | 920 | 53.8 | oversupplied | +59.7% | 33 spare |
| Preston | 1,493 | 54.4 | oversupplied | +59.6% | 68 spare |
Other regions: East Midlands East of England London North East South East South West West Midlands Yorkshire and The Humber
All areas & national picture · Threshold Care
Estimates from CQC HSCA Active Locations and ONS population + 2022-based projections under the Open Government Licence. For research and site screening, not a commissioned feasibility study. Updated July 2026.