Care demand across South West
Every local authority in South West, ranked by the care-bed shortfall projected for 2043 at the national rate of 32.5 beds per 100 residents aged 85+. Bed counts are CQC-registered; demand and growth are ONS. Together these authorities are projected to need on the order of 39,549 additional beds by 2043 to hold the national rate.
| Local authority | Beds | Per 100 85+ | Today | 85+ to 2043 | 2043 gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cornwall | 4,887 | 26.8 | undersupplied | +83.1% | +5,968 |
| Dorset | 4,491 | 28.2 | in line with national | +75.7% | +4,595 |
| Wiltshire | 5,137 | 33.9 | in line with national | +86.3% | +4,052 |
| East Devon | 1,915 | 27.6 | undersupplied | +74.0% | +2,008 |
| South Somerset | 1,690 | 28.9 | in line with national | +80.2% | +1,734 |
| Swindon | 1,354 | 28.4 | in line with national | +83.0% | +1,479 |
| South Gloucestershire | 2,602 | 34.2 | in line with national | +63.5% | +1,446 |
| Teignbridge | 1,549 | 30.9 | in line with national | +80.5% | +1,393 |
| Somerset West and Taunton | 2,233 | 36.4 | in line with national | +80.8% | +1,374 |
| Plymouth | 2,306 | 34.7 | in line with national | +65.2% | +1,261 |
| Sedgemoor | 1,014 | 25.6 | undersupplied | +72.7% | +1,212 |
| North Devon | 898 | 26 | undersupplied | +84.5% | +1,173 |
| North Somerset | 2,958 | 39.8 | oversupplied | +66.6% | +1,067 |
| South Hams | 770 | 24.5 | undersupplied | +77.4% | +1,045 |
| Bath and North East Somerset | 1,932 | 35.5 | in line with national | +65.6% | +997 |
| Cotswold | 958 | 29.5 | in line with national | +84.1% | +984 |
| Mendip | 1,300 | 34.8 | in line with national | +87.0% | +967 |
| Torbay | 1,988 | 37.7 | oversupplied | +69.9% | +925 |
| Mid Devon | 578 | 22.3 | undersupplied | +73.7% | +885 |
| Tewkesbury | 860 | 31.1 | in line with national | +78.6% | +745 |
| Forest of Dean | 710 | 27.7 | in line with national | +73.2% | +732 |
| Gloucester | 972 | 33.3 | in line with national | +73.3% | +674 |
| Stroud | 1,295 | 38.2 | oversupplied | +76.0% | +645 |
| Torridge | 806 | 33.6 | in line with national | +83.7% | +628 |
| West Devon | 678 | 32.3 | in line with national | +89.0% | +613 |
| Cheltenham | 1,501 | 41.8 | oversupplied | +69.1% | +470 |
| Exeter | 1,410 | 42 | oversupplied | +71.3% | +460 |
| Isles of Scilly | 14 | 15.9 | insufficient evidence | +9.6% | +17 |
| Bristol | 2,890 | 32 | in line with national | — | — |
| Bournemouth | 4,604 | 32.7 | in line with national | — | — |
Other regions: East Midlands East of England London North East North West South East West Midlands Yorkshire and The Humber
All areas & national picture · Threshold Care
Estimates from CQC HSCA Active Locations and ONS population + 2022-based projections under the Open Government Licence. For research and site screening, not a commissioned feasibility study. Updated July 2026.